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How we fool ourselves

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by Judith Curry

Crowd sourcing examples of fallacious thinking from climate science.

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Politics discussion thread II

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by Judith Curry

Looks like we need a new thread on this.

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Herd immunity to COVID-19 and pre-existing immune responses

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By Nic Lewis

I showed in my May 10th article Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and in the social-connectivity related infectivity of individuals would reduce, in my view probably very substantially, the herd immunity threshold (HIT), beyond which an epidemic goes into retreat. Continue reading

창원출장마사지| 콜걸| 출장마사지| 콜걸 창원출장마사지| 제주도출장샵| 출장안마| 제주도출장샵
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Week in review – science edition

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by Judith Curry

A few things that have caught my eye this past 12(!) weeks.

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FIRE

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by Judith Curry

Subtitle: our failure to live in harmony with nature.

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COVID-19: evidence shows that transmission by schoolchildren is low

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By Nic Lewis

Much fuss has been made in the UK, not least by teachers’ unions, about recommencing physical school attendance. As this issue applies to many countries, I thought it worth highlighting research findings in Europe. Continue reading

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Part of the heat is coming from beneath our feet.

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by Judith Curry

A thought-provoking article  from my new favorite blog, The Ethical Skeptic.

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Politics discussion thread

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by Judith Curry

It’s time for a politics thread, to deflect the political comments that are sneaking into the technical threads.

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New confirmation that climate models overstate atmospheric warming

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by Ross McKitrick

Two new peer-reviewed papers from independent teams confirm that climate models overstate atmospheric warming and the problem has gotten worse over time, not better.

Continue reading

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New paper suggests historical period estimates of climate sensitivity are not biased low by unusual variability in sea surface temperature patterns

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By Nic Lewis

An important new paper by Thorsten Mauritsen, Associate Professor at Stockholm University[i] and myself has just been accepted for publication (Lewis and Mauritsen 2020)[ii]. Its abstract reads: Continue reading

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Emergent constraints on TCR and ECS from historical warming in CMIP5 and CMIP6 models

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By Nic Lewis

This is a brief comment on a new paper[i] by a mathematician in the Exeter Climate Systems group, Femke Nijsse, and two better known colleagues, Peter Cox and Mark Williamson. I note that Earth Systems Dynamics published the paper despite one of the two peer reviewers recommending against acceptance without further major revisions. But neither of the reviewers appear to have raised the issue that I focus on here. Continue reading

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| 출장오피| 출장안마
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Cancel culture discussion thread II

창원출장마사지| 출장안마| 출장마사지| 출장오피

by Judith Curry

Some additional articles and events to discuss.

Continue reading

창원출장마사지| 출장서비스| 출장녀| 제주도출장샵 창원출장마사지| 출장업소| 출장서비스| 콜걸
창원출장마사지| 제주도출장샵| 콜걸| 경기출장샵

Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought – update

창원출장마사지| 출장안마| 경기출장샵| 경기출장샵

By Nic Lewis

I showed in my May 10th article Why herd immunity to COVID-19 is reached much earlier than thought that inhomogeneity within a population in the susceptibility and in the social-connectivity related infectivity of individuals would reduce, in my view probably very substantially, the herd immunity threshold (HIT), beyond which an epidemic goes into retreat. I opined, based on my modelling, that the HIT probably lay somewhere between 7% and 24%, and that evidence from Stockholm County suggested it was around 17% there, and had been reached. Mounting evidence supports my reasoning.[1]

I particularly want to highlight an important paper published on July 24th “Herd immunity thresholds estimated from unfolding epidemics” (Aguas et al.).[2] The author team is much the same as that of the earlier theoretical paper (Gomes et al.[3]) that prompted my May 10th article. Continue reading

창원출장마사지| 출장샵| 경기출장샵| 콜걸 창원출장마사지| 출장마사지| 출장녀| 경기출장샵
창원출장마사지| 출장녀| 출장샵| 출장녀

Apocalypse Never and False Alarm

창원출장마사지| 출장녀| 출장걸| 출장안마

by Judith Curry

Two important new books to discuss.

Continue reading

창원출장마사지| 서울출장샵| 출장업소| 경기출장샵 창원출장마사지| 출장서비스| 출장안마| 서울출장샵
창원출장마사지| 출장샵| 콜걸| 출장서비스

Cancel culture discussion thread

창원출장마사지| 출장업소| 출장샵| 제주도출장샵

by Judith Curry

A change of topic.

Continue reading

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창원출장마사지| 출장오피| 출장마사지| 서울출장샵

Covid discussion thread: Part X

창원출장마사지| 제주도출장샵| 콜걸| 출장걸

by Judith Curry

Latest roundup of interesting articles.  I’m running out of steam on this topic, here are some random articles I’ve flagged over the last few weeks.

Continue reading

창원출장마사지| 출장걸| 출장안마| 제주도출장샵 창원출장마사지| 출장녀| 출장오피| 서울출장샵
창원출장마사지| 출장업소| 콜걸| 제주도출장샵

The progress of the COVID-19 epidemic in Sweden: an analysis

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By Nic Lewis

The course of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sweden is of great interest, as it is one of very few advanced nations where no lockdown order that heavily restricted people’s movements and other basic freedoms was imposed. As there has been much comment, some of it ill-informed, on how the COVID-19 epidemic has developed in Sweden, but relatively little detailed analysis published in English, it is worth exploring what their excellent publicly-available data reveal. Continue reading

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창원출장마사지| 콜걸| 출장오피| 출장샵

Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part II

창원출장마사지| 출장업소| 출장안마| 출장안마

by Roland Hirsch

New technologies in mass spectrometry are advancing research in climate science

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창원출장마사지| 출장녀| 서울출장샵| 출장업소

Week in review – science edition

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by Judith Curry

A few things that caught my eye the past 7(!) weeks.

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창원출장마사지| 출장마사지| 제주도출장샵| 출장녀

Did lockdowns really save 3 million COVID-19 deaths, as Flaxman et al. claim?

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By Nic Lewis

Key points about the recent Nature paper by Flaxman and other Imperial College modellers

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창원출장마사지| 출장녀| 출장녀| 출장서비스

Structural errors in global climate models

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by Gerald Browning

Climate model sensitivity to CO2 is heavily dependent on artificial parameterizations (e.g. clouds, convection) that are implemented in global climate models that utilize  the wrong atmospheric dynamical system and excessive dissipation.

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Mass spectrometry and climate science. Part I: Determining past climates

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by Roland Hirsch

Mass spectrometry is essential for research in climate science.

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Covid discussion thread: Part IX

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by Judith Curry

Some interesting articles that I’ve spotted recently.

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Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans

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by Judith Curry

Peter Webster’s magnum opus is now published: Dynamics of the Tropical Atmosphere and Oceans.

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Covid discussion thread: Part VIII

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by Judith Curry

Interesting papers that I’ve recently spotted

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